Arizona Cardinals
Sleeper: WR Christian Kirk
Breakout: TE Ricky Seals-Jones
Bust: QB Sam Bradford
Love David Johnson but ALMOST put him in my bust category. Cardinals will likely have a bottom-five offense so it will be hard to see coming close to his 20 touchdown campaign from 2016. Ricky Seals-Jones is a converted receiver who will be an intriguing late round sleeper but a recent arrest for assault might mean a suspension is looming.
Atlanta Falcons
Sleeper: WR Mohammed Sanu
Breakout: RB Tevin Coleman
Bust: TE Austin Hooper
Huge fan of Mohammed Sanu. He quietly has put up consistent WR3 numbers during his time in Atlanta. Tevin Coleman is approaching a contract year so look for him to try and showcase his talents in a timeshare with Devonta Freeman.
Baltimore Ravens
Sleeper: RB Kenneth Dixon
Breakout: WR Chris Moore
Bust: QB Joe Flacco
We will obviously go more in depth on the Ravens from a fantasy perspective in the weeks to come but this Ravens team arguably more offensive talent than they have in a long time. Flacco, however, is still undraftable unless you are in a 16 year, two QB league. Hayden Hurst and Mark Andrews could have fantasy value at some point but chances are they will each prevent each other from being reliable fantasy assets in 2018. Michael Crabtree was born to be a Raven. Will be fun to watch his style of play. The real wild card is Alex Collins. If he gets the majority of the carries he could finish as a top-12 fantasy back.
Buffalo Bills
Sleeper: QB Josh Allen
Breakout: WR Zay Jones
Bust: RB LeSean McCoy
Not much here, especially with the possibility of a Shady McCoy suspension. Kelvin Benjamin has burned me too many times. Charles Clay could be a bye week replacement at tight end but that’s about it.
Carolina Panthers
Sleeper: WR Devin Funchess
Breakout: RB Christian McCaffrey
Bust: TE Greg Olsen
Everything the Panthers did this offseason was to help Cam Newton. They signed Torrey Smith, drafted D.J. Moore, and retained Greg Olsen. I love Christian McCaffrey and want him in all my leagues. PPR monster heading into his second season.
Chicago Bears
Sleeper: TE Trey Burton
Breakout: RB Jordan Howard
Bust: WR Kevin White
Everyone’s fantasy darling at the tight end position this offseason is Trey Burton, who will occupy Travis Kelce’s role in head coach Matt Nagy’s offense. Jordan Howard has top ten RB potential and can be had in the 3rd round.
Cincinnati Bengals
Sleeper: WR Tyler Boyd
Breakout: RB Joe Mixon
Bust: WR John Ross
Remember Tyler Boyd? Only in your nightmares right? Well entering his 3rd season I like him to be a compliment to A.J. Green. Joe Mixon, on the other hand, I’m torn about. Bengals were 31st in the league last season in YPC and Mixon only managed one 100 yard effort. John Ross is crazy fast but can’t seem to stay healthy.
Cleveland Browns
Sleeper: QB Tyrod Taylor
Breakout: TE David Njoku
Bust: WR Jarvis Landry
If you are playing the waiting game at the tight end position this season David Njoku isn’t a terrible option. Tyrod Taylor likes his tight ends (Charles Clay led the Bills in receiving yards last season) so he could be a late round hidden gem for owners. Jarvis Landry is a WR1 in PPR leagues but I doubt he gets enough touchdowns to warrant his current draft position.
Dallas Cowboys
Sleeper: WR Michael Gallup
Breakout: WR Allen Hurns
Bust: QB Dak Prescott
Jason Witten and Dez Bryant are gone. In their place? Not much. Allen Hurns comes over from Jacksonville and it will clearly be opportunity over talent. Rookie Michael Gallup will hopefully be given a chance to shine by midseason. Zeke Elliott will get fed the ball ALOT and should be the first overall pick in all leagues.
Denver Broncos
Sleeper: QB Case Keenum
Breakout: RB Royce Freeman
Bust: WR Emmanuel Sanders
Case Keenum threw for 22 touchdowns in 2017 and the Broncos decided to give him a butt load of money (always wanted to use “butt load” in an article). While he isn’t someone worth drafting I do think he will have value at some point so grabbing him in the last round of your draft might not be terrible. They play a talent stripped Seahawks defense in Week One and bottom five passing defenses Chiefs and Raiders in the first four weeks. I expect rookie Royce Freeman to steal the majority of carries away from Devontae Booker sooner rather than later.
Detroit Lions
Sleeper: TE Luke Wilson
Breakout: WR Kenny Golladay
Bust: RB LeGarrette Blount
I didn’t list him here but I need to talk about Kerryon Johnson for a minute. I really want to love him but I’ve been burned by so many Lions backs in the past. With Blount and Riddick already in place, it will be hard for Johnson to be a huge difference maker in his rookie campaign. Last preseason’s fantasy darling Kenny Golladay is getting largely ignored in most mock drafts but I could see him being a reliable fantasy starter with Golden Tate operating mostly out of the slot.
Green Bay Packers
Sleeper: RB Jamaal Williams
Breakout: WR Davante Adams
Bust: TE Jimmy Graham
With the departure of Jordy Nelson, it looks like Aaron Rodger’s go-to target is going to be Davante Adams. I’m not sure I would trust him as my WR1 but he could easily put up numbers that will make me eat my words. Either way he’s a damn good WR2 if you go WR/WR at the end of the first round. Rodgers should be the first QB off the board in all leagues. Duh. Still wouldn’t take him in the 3rd or 4th round when you can get serious value like Kirk Cousins or Jimmy G in 8th or 9th round. Jimmy Graham goes from one future Hall of Fame QB to another but he’s become too TD dependent at this point of his career to be considered an elite fantasy tight end.
Houston Texans
Sleeper: WR Will Fuller
Breakout: QB Deshaun Watson
Bust: RB Lamar Miller
While I don’t think Will Fuller can keep up his torrid touchdown pace, he will play opposite one of the best receivers in the game and have one of the most explosive QBs in the league throwing him the ball. I think him as a WR2 if you grab running backs early. Speaking of Deshaun Watson, folks are drafting him as high as the 2nd overall quarterback. While I think that’s a bit high, the upside is clearly there. Lamar Miller is a starter but he’s become completely unreliable as anything but a flex option.
Indianapolis Colts
Sleeper: QB Andrew Luck
Breakout: RB Jordan Wilkins
Bust: WR Ryan Grant
The fantasy outlook for the 2018 Colts rests solely on the shoulder of Andrew Luck. If he is 100% healthy this team will put up some serious points and right now most of their offensive players besides T.Y. Hilton are going undrafted. Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins are sleepers behind Marlon Mack in a backfield that is completely up for grabs.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sleeper: WR Marqise Lee
Breakout: WR Dede Westbrook
Bust: QB Blake Bortles
Leonard Fournette was a beast in his rookie season and the team should only continue to lean on him as well as their star-studded defense. Fellow rookie Dede Westbrook showed flashes and without the departure of Allen Robinson might have the highest ceiling of all the Jags pass catchers.
Kansas City Chiefs
Sleeper: WR Chris Conley
Breakout: QB Pat Mahomes
Bust: WR Sammy Watkins
The Chiefs have fantasy producers at every position. Travis Kelce is a top three tight end. Kareem Hunt led the league in rushing in his rookie year and should only get better. Tyreek Hill and newcomer Sammy Watkins can stretch the field better than any duo in the league. The biggest x-factor is Patrick Mahomes. Simple as that. Their success will depend on his development as a starter.
Los Angeles Chargers
Sleeper: TE Antonio Gates
Breakout: RB Melvin Gordon
Bust: WR Mike Williams
The Chargers are being labeled as Super Bowl sleepers this season and for good reason. The team won 9 of their final 12 games last season and has built extremely well through the draft. Melvin Gordon is my target in all leagues if I get stuck with a middle of the 1st round pick. Personally I think they re-sign Antonio Gates eventually but if they don’t Virgil Green is another DEEP sleeper at the tight end position since Philip Rivers loves throwing to his tight end in the redzone. Oh yea Keenan Allen is a beast too. Lots to like about this team from a fantasy perspective.
Los Angeles Rams
Sleeper: RB John Kelly
Breakout: WR Robert Woods
Bust: WR Brandin Cooks
Playing with Drew Brees and Tom Brady can make any receiver’s numbers look great so consider me bullish on Brandin Cook‘s replicate his numbers from the past two seasons. Robert Woods is a more true #1 receiver but for fantasy purposes I would draft both as WR2. I could see Jared Goff taking a step back in 2018 but he’s currently the 15th QB off the board according to Fantasy Football Calculator so that’s a pretty decent value for a guy that threw 28 touchdowns and added a big time receiver. Todd Gurley is my #2 overall running back behind Zeke. Should be in line for another monster season.
Miami Dolphins
Sleeper: RB Kalen Ballage
Breakout: TE Mike Gesicki
Bust: QB Ryan Tannehill
Kenyan Drake took me to the playoffs in a couple of my leagues last season and the Dolphins really like him. However, he doesn’t have the size and power that rookie Kalen Ballage possesses. He was getting rave reviews from former ESPN reporter Joe Schad during rookie minicamp. Only draft Ryan Tannehill if you are related to him or you play in a 20-team league.
Minnesota Vikings
Sleeper: QB Kirk Cousins
Breakout: RB Dalvin Cook
Bust: TE Kyle Rudolph
Are Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen the best wide receiver duo in the league? It’s close. Either way it’s an upgrade over what Kirk Cousins had in DC. Dalvin Cook is the real x-factor here. Can he come back from his early season ACL tear? Supposedly he has knocked rehab “out of the park”, according to Vikings trainer Eric Sugarman. If so he’s a steal on draft day in the second round.
New England Patriots
Sleeper: WR Braxton Berrios
Breakout: RB Rex Burkhead
Bust: WR Jordan Matthews
Tom Brady has made a career of doing two things: cheating at football and making good receivers great. Rookie Braxton Berrios is certainly Wes Welkerish and without Julian Edelman for the first four games he could be a sneaky PPR flex option in deeper leagues. Rob Gronkowski is the best tight end in the game but more injury prone than Kelce or Ertz so be careful. The backfield is filled with versatile guys but I have to think the team drafted Georgia standout Sony Michel for a reason.
New Orleans Saints
Sleeper: RB Boston Scott
Breakout: WR Cameron Meredith
Bust: QB Drew Brees
Alvin Kamara will benefit from Mark Ingram‘s four game suspension but even still he’s a top five back in all formats. Drew Brees is entering his 18th season and his numbers dipped from 37 touchdown passes in 2016 to 23 last season. Ben Watson led the Ravens in receptions last season and now he returns to the high powered Saints offense. Oh yea plus you can literally take him in the last round of your drafts.
New York Jets
Sleeper: WR Jermaine Kearse
Breakout: WR Robby Anderson
Bust: RB Isaiah Crowell
Despite inconsistent quarterback play, Robby Anderson managed almost 1,000 receiving yards and has 9 touchdowns over his first two seasons. Despite the depth of talent at receiver, he makes a really nice WR3 in all leagues. His numbers should only improve if 1st round pick Sam Darnold is given some starts under center. If you want a super deep sleeper former Clemson standout Jordan Leggett could be a PPR waiver wire pickup during the bye weeks.
New York Giants
Sleeper: WR Roger Lewis
Breakout: RB Saquon Barkley
Bust: TE Evan Engram
With a stud rookie running back (Saquon Barkley), an elite receiver (OBJ), and an up and coming tight end (Evan Engram) could Eli Manning be a sleeper QB in his 15th season? No……no he can’t.
Oakland Raiders
Sleeper: RB Doug Martin
Breakout: QB Derek Carr
Bust: RB Marshawn Lynch
This is a team that really peaked offensively a couple seasons ago. Now they have an aging Marshawn Lynch penciled in as their starting running back. Look for free agent signee Doug Martin to push Lynch heavily for playing time. Amari Cooper dealt with a knee sprain, ankle sprain, and concussion in 2017 but only missed two games. If you want a value in the 3rd or 4th round he is your guy. Cooper has all the talent to be a top fantasy receiver in 2018 and nobody on the roster is a threat to take the top spot on the peaking order from Derek Carr.
Philadelphia Eagles
Sleeper: RB Josh Adams
Breakout: TE Zach Ertz
Bust: RB Jay Ajayi
Doesn’t really matter who is at quarterback for Week One. This is Carson Wentz‘ team. After his injury fantasy owners are forgetting he had 33 touchdowns in the first 13 games. Zach Ertz is a top three tight end and might actually have higher upside than Gronk and Kelce now that Trey Burton has left town. The running back situation is far from ideal and one that I plan to stay away from during my drafts.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Sleeper: James Washington
Breakout: JuJu Smith-Schuster
Bust: Ben Roethlisberger
I say this every season but this is the year Ben Roethlisberger misses multiple games with an injury. His body has to be held together by duct tape at this point right? James Conner is a guy I would draft late if I take LeVeon Bell in the first round. I like Vance McDonald as a deep tight end sleeper but with Jesse James penciled in as a the starter I don’t know how much McDonald will get on the field.
San Francisco 49ers
Sleeper: George Kittle
Breakout: Jerick McKinnon
Bust: Pierre Garcon
CAN’T HIDE MONEY! Jimmy Garoppolo came over at the end of November and lead the 49ers to five straight wins. His talent with Kyle Shanahan’s playcalling finally makes the 49ers a viable fantasy option. Marquise Goodwin lead the team in receiving in 8 of the 16 games and George Kittle had 15 catches over the final five games. Jerick McKinnon was signed to be the workhorse and he has all the tools to also be a 60+ catch receiver out of the backfield.
Seattle Seahawks
Sleeper: Tyler Lockett
Breakout: Rashaad Penny
Bust: Brandon Marshall
The Seahawks went from a Super Bowl contender to one of the least talented rosters in the league. For fantasy purposes, however, their depleted defense might mean the offense will be forced to score more points late in games. Russell Wilson is a duel threat and a much better value at QB than taking Rodgers or Watson early. Unable to find a running back last season, the team will lean heavily on Rashaad Penny. The dude had 2,248 rushing yards in his senior year so he can handle the rock. Problem is he isn’t much of a pass catcher. That role could go to Chris Carson or CJ Prosise.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sleeper: Chris Godwin
Breakout: Ronald Jones
Bust: Jameis Winston
I’m not super high on Ronald Jones but he’s far more talented than Jacquizz Rodgers and Peyton Barber. Jameis Winston is facing an early season suspension which will probably lead to him going undrafted is some leagues. He also faces two top-12 pass defenses right when he returns to the lineup.
Tennessee Titans
Sleeper: Derrick Henry
Breakout: Corey Davis
Bust: Marcus Mariota
I’m much higher on Derrick Henry than most fantasy writers and I’m fine with that. I think he has the talent to be a top five fantasy running back and I’m not scared of the Dion Lewis signing. Corey Davis is a extremely popular sleeper in fantasy circles but I would rather have Rishard Matthews four or five rounds later.
Washington R-Words
Sleeper: Jordan Reed
Breakout: Josh Doctson
Bust: Chris Thompson
When healthy……let me stress WHEN HEALTHY……..Jordan Reed is a top five fantasy tight end. Maybe top three. If you draft him be sure to grab another tight end later in your drafts. With Josh Doctson, Jamison Crowder and Paul Richardson, Alex Smith has some weapons. Only problem is I have no idea which one is going to emerge as the team’s #1 option. As much as I dislike the Redskins I can’t really find a “bust” on this team but I guess Chris Thompson since he’s relatively one dimensional and is coming back from a broken leg.